Table 3 Prediction results at 5% level using the conservative bound.

Virus

Ori Center

Start

Peak

Value

Prediction

bohv1

111190

109702

109730

25

Yes

bohv1

127028

128487

128515

25

Yes

bohv4

97996.5

60687

60826

35

No

bohv5

113312

113549

113583

28

Yes

bohv5

129701

129429

129463

28

Yes

cehv1

61690.5

61680

61700

20

Yes

cehv1

61893.5

61680

61700

20

Yes

cehv1

132795.5

132785

132805

20

Yes

cehv1

132998.5

132785

132805

20

Yes

cehv1

149425.5

149415

149435

20

Yes

cehv1

149628.5

149415

149435

20

Yes

cehv16

62981

62970

62991

21

Yes

cehv16

133479

133468

133489

21

Yes

cehv16

149824

149813

149834

21

Yes

cehv2

61493.5

61483

61503

20

Yes

cehv2

129537.5

129527

129547

20

Yes

cehv2

144471.5

144461

144481

20

Yes

cehv7

109636.5

86167

86296

37

No

cehv7

118622.5

86167

86296

37

No

ebv

8313.5

11854

11950

45

No

ebv

40797

43158

43235

23

Yes

ebv

143825.5

77111

77150

24

No

ehv1

126262.5

128924

128992

23

Yes

ehv4

73909.5

73340

73509

37

Yes

ehv4

119471.5

112929

112967

29

No

ehv4

138577.5

132383

132462

49

No

gahv1

24871.5

24852

24890

30

Yes

hcmv

93923.5

96685

96824

34

Yes

hhv6

67805

130410

130501

59

No

hhv6b

69160.5

132997

133163

62

No

hhv7

66991.5

128589

128984

70

No

hsv1

62475

62465

62485

20

Yes

hsv1

131999

131990

132008

18

Yes

hsv1

146235

144115

144142

18

Yes

hsv2

62930

62919

62939

17

Yes

hsv2

132760

132691

132711

17

Yes

hsv2

148981

146600

146631

19

Yes

rcmv

77318

24072

24108

21

No

shv1

63878

63862

63892

24

Yes

shv1

114701

114686

114715

20

Yes

shv1

129901

129607

129636

20

Yes

vzv

110218.5

110195

110227

32

Yes

vzv

119678.5

119669

119701

32

Yes