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Table 4 Model comparison

From: Analysis of significant factors for dengue fever incidence prediction

Model

Variables

AIC

BIC

MAPE (%)

Model compared

Chi-square

p-value

1

Season + Fmosquito + Mmosquito + AegRate

160.33

178.15

325.38

-

-

-

2

Season + Fmosquito + Mmosquito

159.32

174.17

336.96

2 vs. 1a

0.49

0.482

3

Season + Fmosquito

158.27

170.15

326.81

3 vs. 2b

0.47

0.491

4

Season + Fmosquito + Season × Fmosquito

160.15

177.96

320.27

3 vs. 4c

1.06

0.588

  1. aH0: Model-2 is appropriate vs. H1: Model-1 is appropriate
  2. bH0: Model-3 is appropriate vs. H1: Model-2 is appropriate
  3. cH0: Model-3 is appropriate vs. H1: Model-4 is appropriate