Pathway activity inference for multiclass disease classification through a mathematical programming optimisation framework
© Yang et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd. 2014
Received: 4 July 2014
Accepted: 19 November 2014
Published: 5 December 2014
Applying machine learning methods on microarray gene expression profiles for disease classification problems is a popular method to derive biomarkers, i.e. sets of genes that can predict disease state or outcome. Traditional approaches where expression of genes were treated independently suffer from low prediction accuracy and difficulty of biological interpretation. Current research efforts focus on integrating information on protein interactions through biochemical pathway datasets with expression profiles to propose pathway-based classifiers that can enhance disease diagnosis and prognosis. As most of the pathway activity inference methods in literature are either unsupervised or applied on two-class datasets, there is good scope to address such limitations by proposing novel methodologies.
A supervised multiclass pathway activity inference method using optimisation techniques is reported. For each pathway expression dataset, patterns of its constituent genes are summarised into one composite feature, termed pathway activity, and a novel mathematical programming model is proposed to infer this feature as a weighted linear summation of expression of its constituent genes. Gene weights are determined by the optimisation model, in a way that the resulting pathway activity has the optimal discriminative power with regards to disease phenotypes. Classification is then performed on the resulting low-dimensional pathway activity profile.
The model was evaluated through a variety of published gene expression profiles that cover different types of disease. We show that not only does it improve classification accuracy, but it can also perform well in multiclass disease datasets, a limitation of other approaches from the literature. Desirable features of the model include the ability to control the maximum number of genes that may participate in determining pathway activity, which may be pre-specified by the user. Overall, this work highlights the potential of building pathway-based multi-phenotype classifiers for accurate disease diagnosis and prognosis problems.
The popularity of microarray technology as means of deriving a comprehensive view of gene expression under particular environmental stimuli has necessitated the development of computational strategies for linking expression patterns to sample phenotypes ,. In charactering disease, the gene expression matrix serves as input to a classification task where each sample is allocated to a relevant phenotypic class via specific gene signatures or biomarkers that can best differentiate between outcomes. Such disease classification tasks have been successful in deriving biomarkers for diagnosis , prognosis - and response to treatment , in complex disorders.
Despite successful reports, disease classification is impeded by the so-called “large p small n” property, whereby the number of samples (or instances) is typically several orders of magnitude smaller than the number of genes (or features), making it difficult to extract reliable information from transcriptomic profiles . Feature reduction methods are therefore employed as means of extracting a smaller set of genes, able to discriminate between disease states. We note as example methods based on partial least squares , heuristic breadth-first search algorithm , and ensemble feature selection methods . Subsequently, a classifier can be trained on the reduced feature set to predict the disease status or prognostic characteristic of any given samples -.
Such diagnostic or prognostic profiles relate to genes that do not act in isolation, but in fact work in concert, forming sub-networks that collectively modulate or determine cell fate. Accounting for such molecular synergies in feature reduction and disease classification protocols can also alleviate challenges of single-gene classifiers related to cellular heterogeneity in tissue, genetic heterogeneity among patients, measurement noise -, thereby leading to increased biological interpretability of biomarkers and enhancing insights into the mechanisms of the disease -. Therefore, feature selection and classification methods where all genes are treated independently are increasingly replaced by approaches where the effects of groups of genes on disease prediction are considered simultaneously. Such gene sets can either reflect curated biochemical pathways or functional modules derived from protein interaction networks ,-.
The availability of pathway information from publc databases, for example Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) , Gene Ontology (GO)  and Reactome , provide the possibility of analysing functional sets of genes that fall within common pathways and identifying the disease-relevant pathways as biomarkers. Initial efforts of gene-set based approaches included gene set enrichment analysis , which calculates to what extent a set of genes show statistically significant difference between samples belonging to either of the two phenotypes. Other similar computational tools have also been reported -. However, those statistical frameworks commonly assign one score for each set of genes to quantify the deregulation of this gene-set under disease status of interest, but do not provide more information on the level of gene-set deregulation for each sample. It is argued that this drawback compromises their potential in personalised pathway analysis .
Therefore, a more informative approach may be to assign a score to each pathway and sample, which represents the activity of that particular pathway for that sample ,-,-. The mean and median expression value across all constituent genes within a pathway, termed pathway activity, has been proposed in . Other studies produce pathway activity measures based on principle component analysis (PCA) to derive the top principle component that captures the maximum variance in the dataset ,,,. More recently a supervised greedy search algorithm was proposed that ranks genes according to their individual discriminative power and then searches for a subset of highly ranked genes whose averaged expression profiles yield better discriminative power . This method was modified so that it accounts for up- and down-regulated genes by assigning positive sign and negative sign respectively . Both methods are inherently applicable to binary classification problems. A statistical inference method  proposes to aggregate the probabilistic evidence of all genes within a pathway for predicting a sample into one of the two phenotypes. Other relevant studies based on the concept of pathway activity either require other biological information as prior, for example copy number variation and protein interactions ,, or are not designed for classification tasks ,.
Pathway activity-based classification approaches provide competitive or higher prediction accuracy when compared to traditional single genes-based classifiers ,, so extending or refining their use is a promising avenue for biomarker discovery. Despite rapidly increasing interest in developing novel and robust pathway activity inference methods, most of the existing methods still use rather simple means of summarising the expression patterns of either some or all constituent genes into the composite pathway level attribute, for example the mean or median value of sample expression across all or a subset of constituent genes ,. PCA-based methods ,,, calculate the first principal component, representing the maximum variance of the data set, as pathway activity. However such methods do not take into account the phenotype information of samples. Furthermore, some current pathway activity inference methods are constrained to two-phenotype (binary) classification problems ,,,, disallowing their use in more complex problems of multi-phenotype classification.
In this work, we propose a novel multiclass method that infers pathway activity in a supervised manner. The proposed method summarises expression patterns of constituent genes into pathway activity via weighted linear summation of gene expression. As opposed to some methods in literature where gene weights are taken as a prior, in our work gene weights are decided by the model, so that the constructed pathway activity can optimally distinguish samples from different phenotypes. Furthermore, the mathematical framework of this method offers the ability to the user to explicitly constraint the maximum number of constituent genes contributing to pathway activity inference. Using a number of published gene expression profile datasets, we show that this pathway activity inference method is robust in terms of the number of constituent genes allowed to determine the pathway activity metric. Comparative analyses show that the method is an effective means of reducing classification features, as it either outperforms or at least matches competing pathway activity inference methods in two-phenotype disease classification problems, and provides significantly better classification rates in multi-phenotype classification problems.
Complex diseases such as breast cancer and psoriasis are the product of multiple gene interactions that collectively contribute to the etiology of the disease through largely unknown mechanisms . Breast cancer is the most frequently diagnosed malignancy and has been intensively studied by gene expression profiling -,-. Psoriasis is a systemic, inflammatory skin disease with autoimmune underpinnings affecting 2-3% of the world population -. Prostate tumor is the most frequently diagnosed cancer in American men  and displays a broad range of clinical and histological behaviors ,. Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is the most common lymphoid malignancy in adults  with less than 40% patients responding desirably to the current therapy while the remainders succumb to the disease, highlighting the unidentified molecular heterogeneity in the tumors .
Samples per phenotype
Healthy control: 64;
Psoriatic non-lesional skin: 58;
Psoriatic lesional skin: 58
Healthy control: 21;
Psoriatic non-lesional skin: 28;
Psoriatic lesional skin: 33
Apocrine tumour: 6;
Basal tumour: 16;
Luminal tumour: 27
Luminal tumour: 62;
Follicular lymphoma: 19
Residual invasive cancer: 182;
No residual invasive cancer: 48
All microarray datasets have been obtained on Affymetrix platforms. For each dataset, raw data have been downloaded and pre-processed using the Bioconductor package LIMMA . KEGG C2 functional gene sets have been downloaded from MsigDB database (v3.0, Sep 2010) , which included a total number of 186 curated pathways and 5267 genes.
Pathway activity-based classification procedure
A novel mathematical programming formulation to infer pathway activity
In the case where NoG is equal to or larger than the number of member genes available in the pathway, the constraint is redundant as all the member genes will be allowed to take any weight (rp m -rn m ) between −1 and 1. We aim to construct pathway activity as a feature with good discriminative power, which can separate samples from different phenotypes as much as possible.
The resulting mathematical programming-based formulation for inferring pathway activity is summarised below:
Objective function (11)
Pathway activity definition (1)
Positive and negative gene effect constraints (2) and (3)
Normalisation constraint (4)
Restriction of the number of active genes (5) (6)
Pathway activity enclosing constraints (7) and (8)
The proposed mathematical programming formulation consists of a linear objective function and a number of linear constraints. The linearity and presence of binary and continuous variables define a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) model, named DIGS (DIfferential Gene Signatures) here, and can be solved to global optimality using some of the standard algorithms like branch-and-bound.
To facilitate the use of DIGS, we make available the GAMS executable, example input files and user guide at www.ucl.ac.uk/~uceclap/DIGS.
Comparison of the DIGS model with genes-based methods and other pathway activity inference methods
Overview of Evaluated Methods
Guo et al. 
Computational basis: Pathway activity
Description: Create pathway-specific gene expression profiles; for each pathway, pathway activity for sample is its mean expression value among all member genes; a classifier is trained on pathway activity profile.
Guo et al. 
Computational basis: Pathway activity
Description: Create pathway-specific gene expression profiles; for each pathway, pathway activity for sample is its median expression value among all member genes; a classifier is trained on pathway activity profile.
Bild et al. 
Computational basis: Pathway activity
Description: Create pathway-specific gene expression profiles; for each pathway, top principal component is calculated as the pathway activity; a classifier is trained on pathway activity profile.
Lee et al. 
Computational basis: Pathway activity
Description: Create pathway-specific gene expression profiles; for each pathway, apply t-test to rank genes and perform a greedy search to find a subset of genes whose averaged expression values is locally maximal in t-test value; a classifier is trained on pathway activity profile; only applicable for two-class problems.
Ainali et al. 
Computational basis: Single genes
Description: Create pathway-specific gene expression profiles; a classifier is trained on each pathway-specific gene expression profile separately, and prediction rates achieved by all pathway classifiers are averaged as the final prediction rate.
Computational basis: Single genes
Description: Apply  to select a subset of top genes; a classifier is trained on reduced gene expression profile
Proposed in this work
Computational basis: Pathway activity
Description: Create pathway-specific gene expression profiles; Apply the proposed DIGS model to construct pathway activity as weighted linear summation of gene expressions; a classifier is trained on pathway activity profile.
In detail, comparative results are presented by implementation of the following methods: i) a genes-based approach has been implemented for comparison where, given a whole gene expression profile, a feature selection  method is applied to select a subset of top genes with the best discriminative power for classification. The multiclass feature selection method  used here employs a distance metric, for example weighted L 1 metric or K-L divergence and gives a subset of top attributes/genes with respect to the aggregated pair-wise class distances, where the number of attributes in the subset obtained is pre-set by the user. A classifier is then trained using only the small subset of discriminative genes for disease classification problems; ii) the Ainali et al.  method, where each pathway-specific gene expression profile is treated independently, i.e. training and testing are conducted for each pathway-specific expression profile separately and classification accuracies across all pathways are averaged to obtain the final classification rate (referred as per_pathway), and iii) the two methods from Guo et al.  (referred as mean and median, respectively), which take either the mean or median gene expression values of all genes within a pathway for each sample. The Bild et al.  approach (referred as PCA) of using the first principal component as representation of pathway activity, which represents a family of principal component analysis-based methods ,,. The Lee et al.  method, which identifies and averages a subset of condition-responsive genes (referred as CORGs), which has been implemented only for two-phenotype disease classification problems, as it is not suited to multi-class problems.
Evaluation of classification performance
The performance of the various pathway activity metrics is evaluated by the classification accuracy achieved across the eight disease datasets. For each dataset, samples are split randomly in training and testing sets of 70 and 30% respectively and this procedure is repeated fifty times. Composite features are constructed using Mean, Median, CORGs, PCA and DIGS on the training samples, resulting in low dimensionality matrix of samples across pathway activities, on which five popular classifiers SMO , Neural Network (NN) , K-Nearest-Neighbours (K-NN) , Logistic Regression (Logistic)  and Hyperbox (HB)  are trained. The classifiers are then tested on the testing sample set and the prediction accuracy is calculated as the number of correctly classified samples divided by the total number of testing samples, averaged across the fifty training/testing sets.
The above procedure is modified where pathway activities are not used, i.e. in the SG and per_pathway approaches. In the genes-based approach, the feature selection method  has been applied using training samples only and the top genes are selected. The number of top genes is set to be identical to the number of pathways (i.e. 186) in order to derive comparable dimensionalities between the pathway activity-based and the genes-based approach. For the per_pathway approach, each of the 5 classifiers have been trained using training samples only and then validated on the testing samples sets for each pathway separately.
Overall, 8 microarray gene expression profiles (dataset), 7 competing methods (method) and 5 classifiers (classifier) are employed in our study. For each combination of dataset, method and classifier, classification accuracies over 50 individual testing sets are averaged as the prediction accuracy for this combination. It is important to note that Lee et al.  is applicable for only two-phenotype problems, therefore we divide the 8 datasets into a group of 4 binary datasets and the other group of 4 multiclass datasets. For the binary classification comparison, for each method we average the prediction accuracies over all 4 binary datasets and all 5 classifiers, which gives a comprehensive indication of the efficiency of the evaluated methods (i.e. Mean, Median, PCA, CORGs, per_pathway, SG and the proposed DIGS). For the multiclass case, the same analysis is applied and all comparative analyses are discussed in the next section.
The DIGS model has been implemented in the General Algebraic Modelling System (GAMS)  using the CPLEX MILP solver in a CentOS 5.2 64 bit Unix computer environment. The optimality gap is set as 0. Computational resource limit is set as 200 seconds per run. Among the 5 classifiers SMO, NN, K-NN and Logistic have been implemented in WEKA machine learning software  with the following parameters for NN: hidden layers 2, learning rate 0.1, momentum 0.2, training time 10000; and for K-NN: the number of nearest neighbours is selected as 5. For other classifiers, their default settings have been retained. HB has been reproduced in GAMS according to its original publication .
Results and discussion
In this work, we propose an optimisation-based model that infers a pathway activity metric as a weighted linear combination of the constituent gene expression values. The DIGS model can identify a subset of pathway constituent genes with cardinality no more than the user-specified value, NoG, whose expression can be combined via different weights to best separate samples from different phenotypes. The effect of NoG is illustrated through sensitivity analysis below, followed by a comparison of the model against a variety of disease classification strategies, including both single-gene and pathway activity based approaches.
Sensitivity analysis for NoG,influencing the number of active genes in constructing pathway activity
Parameter NoG determines the maximum number of pathway member genes that have non-zero weight in activity inference. Tuning this parameter is important as a small value may not fully utilise the discriminative member genes, while an excessively large value may potentially cause over-fitting, i.e. in the case where too many genes are allowed to take non-zero weights for pathway activity against a relatively small number of training samples, leading to decreased prediction accuracy.
Generally, the DIGS model is robust with respect to parameter NoG, as in the range of 5 to 20, classification prediction performance is found to be mostly stable, with some improvement observed between NoG 5 and 20. Overall, it is noted that prediction performance is case-dependent, not only depending on the dataset under investigation, but also varying with the particular pathway in question (e.g. number of member genes per pathway). In some cases, some improvement is observed against the case of no selection, for example on Yao, Farmer and Pawitan datasets with SMO classifier classification rates increase from 83.7%, 88.3% and 92.9% to 89.5%, 97.6% and 98.8% (NoG = 5) respectively (Figure 2A).
The model performs well even in the case where the number of genes is not reduced (see DIGS_ALL in Figures 2 and Additional file 2), indicating that, although reducing the total number of genes per pathway through parameter NoG may be beneficial to a particular application, it is by no means compulsory. Therefore, NoG offers the flexibility of feature reduction, if looking into the effect of a subset of genes is desired, without imposing any additional limitations that would stem from cases where parameter specification would be mandatory. For the implementations discussed below, NoG equal to a value of ten was chosen as a sensible compromise of the effects discussed above.
Classification rate comparison across other methods
It is obvious from Figure 3A that using 5-NN as classifier DIGS-based classification approach achieves higher classification rates than other pathway activity inference methods, including Mean, Median, PCA, CORGs. On all 8 datasets, DIGS model inferring pathway activity has always outperformed other pathway activity inference methods. It is not a surprise as DIGS seeks to infer pathway activity as of optimal discriminative power. It is also true that DIGS-based pathway activity classification approach results in higher prediction accuracy than Per_pathway, where pathway-specific gene expression profiles are trained and tested independently without constructing pathway activity features. Lastly, the same observation can be made when comparing DIGS to SG, where 186 genes of best discriminative power are selected for classification. DIGS leads to better classification rates than SG on six occasions (Singh, Popovici, Desmedt, Swindell, Farmer and Pawitan), while being tied with SG on Yao and trailing SG by marginal extent on Shipp. Overall it is evident that the proposed DIGS-based classification approach leads to more robust and accurate classification than other state-of-the-arts approaches in literature.
With regards to the actual prediction rates, the combination of DIGS model inferring pathway activity and 5-NN classifier offers prediction rates of above 90% for 4 out of 8 employed datasets, including Singh, Shipp, Yao, Farmer, around 80% for another 3 datasets, including Popovici, Swindell and Pawitan, while still managed 70% for the last dataset Desmedt. The generally high prediction rates demonstrate the applicability and efficiency of the proposed DIGS model in practice.
To show that the desirable prediction rates achieved by DIGS-based approach is not due to a specific bias of DIGS model with 5-NN classifier, we present the classification accuracy comparison using Neural Network classifiers in Figure 3B. According to Figure 3B, when employing Neural Network classifier, DIGS-based disease classification approach again shows great competitiveness in 4 binary datasets that it gives the highest classification rate in Popovici; is tied as the top method in Singh with single genes-based approach and in Desmedt with CORGs; in Shipp DIGS trails the most accurate approach only marginally. In terms of 4 multiclass datasets, DIGS-based classification approach dominates in all of them. The same phenomenon can be observed using the other 3 implemented classifiers that DIGS model either provides competitive classification accuracies or gives the highest classification rate (See Additional file 3 for more details).
Mean normalised classification rates over 4 two-phenotype datasets according to performance
Mean [ ]
Median [ ]
Per_pathway [ ]
PCA [ ]
CORGs [ ]
Mean normalised classification rates over 4 multi-phenotype datasets according to performance
In terms of binary datasets, Table 3 clearly indicates that DIGS pathway inference model comes at the top of all methods. This is true in the case of most classifiers used and it is only when using with logistic as classifier where DIGS is outperformed by CORGs and SG. For multi-class datasets (Table 4) DIGS is the best method throughout, indicating the strength of our proposed methodology for the most challenging cases where multiple outcomes need to be predicted. This highlights that one of the contributions of this work is to design, according to the authors’ best knowledge, the first supervised pathway activity inference method applicable to both binary and multiclass datasets.
DIGS release significant disease relevant pathways
Besides the high classification rates achieved by the proposed DIGS model, we have also identified a number of breast cancer pathways that may indicate pathway biomarkers. For Pawitan, where around 90% classification rates can be achieved using DIGS with all 5 classifiers, we employed an information gain feature ranking method in WEKA to rank the constructed pathway activities for each random training set. We record 11 pathways that are ranked more than 20 times as the most discriminative. As we have constrained the proposed DIGS model to allow only 10 genes per pathway to participant in pathway activity inference, we further extract for each identified significant pathway the set of constituent genes included in the active genes more than 10 times.
Significant pathways and constituent genes identified by the proposed DIGS model for Pawitan
Significant constituent genes
EGFR, TCF7L1, GSTP1, PDGFRA, CCNE1, CHUK, PIK3R3, ERBB2, PIK3R1
UBIQUITIN MEDIATED PROTEOLYSIS
UBE2E3, MID1, SKP2, BRCA1, WWP1
WNT SIGNALING PATHWAY
FZD7, SOX17, TCF7L1, SKP1, SFRP1, FZD8
O GLYCAN BIOSYNTHESIS
GALNT3, GALNT7, GALNT11, GALNT6, GCNT3, B4GALT5, GALNT8, C1GALT1, GALNT12, GCNT4, GALNT14, GALNT10, GALNT2, ST3GAL2, GCNT1, ST3GAL1, C1GALT1C1, GALNT1
EGFR, ERBB2, TCF7L1, TCF7L2, MET, RAC3, SMAD3, MLLT4, RHOA
ERBB SIGNALING PATHWAY
EGFR, NCK2, ERBB2, AKT3, PAK4, EREG, MAPK9, AKT2
CA12, CA5A, CA9, GLUL, CA3, CA14, CA8, CA7, CA5B, GLUD1, CA2, AMT, CA6, CA1, CTH, GLS2, GLUD2, HAL, CA4, ASNS, CPS1
DORSO VENTRAL AXIS FORMATION
EGFR, NOTCH1, GRB2, MAPK3, NOTCH3, SOS1, CPEB1, PIWIL2 ETS2, MAPK1, NOTCH4, ETV6, PIWIL1, MAP2K1, NOTCH2, SOS2, ETS1, ETV7, KRAS
EGFR, TCF7L1, ERBB2, TCF7L2, MLH1, ELK1, NRAS, AKT3, ARAF, CTNNA2, PIK3CB, AKT2, CCND1, FOXO3, LEF1
NON SMALL CELL LUNG CANCER
EGFR, AKT3, E2F3, ERBB2, BAD, E2F1, RARB, CDKN2A, PLCG2, GRB2, HRAS, MAPK3, PIK3CD, RXRG, TGFA
EGFR, ERBB2, AKT3, CDKN2A, MAPK9, PLD1, RAC3, RALA, CCND1, E2F3, JAK1, PIK3R1
We repeat the same analysis of identifying significant pathways and genes for Popovici dataset  and Swindell  where desirable classification rates can be achieved. The significant pathways/genes and heat map can be accessed at Additional files 4, 5, and 6.
Incorporating pathway information as biological priors into microarray gene expression profile has been demonstrated to be a promising alternative to conventional genes-based approach in various disease classification problems. However to the authors’ best knowledge there are no supervised pathway activity inference methods for multiclass disease classification problems. In this work, a novel supervised pathway activity inference method for both binary and multiclass disease classification problems, DIGS, has been proposed using mathematical programming optimisation techniques. For each pathway, a new composite feature, called pathway activity, is constructed as a weighted linear summation of expressions of member genes. In each pathway the number of member genes contributing to pathway activity inference by taking non-zero weights is constrained explicitly. The proposed DIGS model provide three main benefits over the existing pathway activity inference methods in literature: (a) the weights of constituent genes in building pathway activity are optimised by DIGS in order to maximise the discriminative power of the pathway activity; (b) the maximum number of constituent genes taking non-zero weights when building pathway activity can be explicitly specified by user; (c) the proposed pathway activity inference model is applicable to both binary and multiclass disease classification problems.
A total number of 8 microarray gene expression profiles totalling 877 samples and ~100,000 genes have been used to demonstrate the applicability and efficiency of the proposed pathway activity inference scheme. The classification results show that for 4 two-class problems DIGS-based classification approaches lead to higher normalised classification performance compared to other existing pathway-based approaches as well as genes-based approaches. In terms of multiclass classification problems, mathematical programming inferring pathway activity here gives consistently the highest prediction accuracies that with the same classifier DIGS always outperforms others by distance.
Funding from the UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (to LY and LGP for the EPSRC Centre for Innovative Manufacturing in Emergent Macromolecular Therapies), the UK Leverhulme Trust (to ST and LGP, RPG-2012-686) and the European Union (to ST, HEALTH-F2-2011-261366) is gratefully acknowledged.
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